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Not Just Another Cold War: The Global Implications of the US-China Rivalry
M. Taylor Fravel
Chapter 7, "Technological Competition and the US-China Rivalry," in Bård Nikolas Vik Steen, ed., Not Just Another Cold War: The Global Implications of the US-China Rivalry, (Oxford University Press, 2025)
Book -
Estimating China’s Defense Spending: How To Get It Wrong (and Right)
M. Taylor Fravel, George J. Gilboy, and Eric Heginbotham | Texas National Security Review Vol. 7, No. 3
(Summer 2024)
Analysis -
Analysis
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Appendix: China Defense Spending Estimate Method
from
“Estimating China’s Defense Spending: How To Get It Wrong (and Right),”
Texas National Security Review, Summer 2024
M. Taylor Fravel, George J. Gilboy, and Eric HeginbothamAnalysis -
China’s Misunderstood Nuclear Expansion
M. Taylor Fravel
Foreign Affairs, November 10, 2023 (With Henrik Stålhane Hiim and Magnus Langset Trøan)
Commentary -
China’s Potential Lessons from Ukraine for Conflict over Taiwan
M. Taylor Fravel
The Washington Quarterly Vol. 46, No. 3 (2023)
Analysis -
Two Paths: Why States Join or Avoid China's Belt and Road Initiative
M. Taylor Fravel
Global Studies Quarterly Vol. 3, No. 3 (July 2023) (With Eleanor Atkins, Raymond Wang, Nick Ackert, and Sihao Huang)
Analysis -
The Myth of Chinese Diversionary War: Domestic Turmoil Won’t Make Beijing Launch an Attack—but Will Make It More Likely to React to External Threats
M. Taylor Fravel
Foreign Affairs, September 15, 2023
Commentary -
Managing United States–China university relations and risks
M. Taylor Fravel
Science Vol. 380, No. 6642 (April 2023) (With Richard Lester, Lily Tsai, Suzanne Berger, Peter Fisher, David Goldston, Yasheng Huang, and Daniela Rus)
Analysis -
The Dynamics of an Entangled Security Dilemma: China's Changing Nuclear Posture
M. Taylor Fravel
International Security Vol. 47, No. 4 (Spring 2023) (With Henrik Stålhane Hiim and Magnus Langset Trøan)
Analysis -
How to Avoid a War Over Taiwan: Threats, Assurances, and Effective Deterrence
M. Taylor Fravel
Foreign Affairs, October 13, 2022 (With Thomas J. Christensen, Bonnie S. Glaser, Andrew J. Nathan, and Jessica Chen Weiss)
Analysis -
How Much Risk Should the United States Run in the South China Sea?
M. Taylor Fravel
International Security Vol. 47, No. 2 (Fall 2022) (With Charles L. Glaser)
Analysis -
China’s military strategy for a ‘new era’: Some change, more continuity, and tantalizing hints
M. Taylor Fravel (with Joel Wuthnow)
Analysis -
China’s nuclear arsenal is growing. What does that mean for U.S.-China relations?
M. Taylor Fravel (With Fiona S. Cunningham)
Commentary -
China engages the Arctic: a great power in a regime complex
M. Taylor Fravel (with Kathryn Lavell and Liselotte Odgaard)
Asian Security, Vol. 18, No. 2, 2022
Analysis -
China's New Direction: Challenges and Opportunities for U.S. Policy
M. Taylor Fravel (with many other Task Force participants)
Asia Society Center on US-China Relations, UC San Diego, 2021
Analysis -
Stormy Seas: The South China Sea in US-China Relations
M. Taylor Fravel (with Kacie Miura)
In Avery Goldstein and Jacques de lisle, eds., After Engagement: Dilemmas in U.S.-China Security Relations, 2021.
Analysis -
A “China in the World” Paradigm for Scholarship
M. Taylor Fravel (with Melanie Manion and Yuhua Wang)
Studies in Comparative International Development, Vol. 56, No. 1, March 2021
Analysis -
China and India are pulling back from the brink
M. Taylor Fravel
Commentary -
Commentary