The battlegrounds that could decide a US-China war over Taiwan

Five key military contests are likely to determine the outcome of a conflict

Kathrin Hille, Demetri Sevastopulo, and the Visual Storytelling Team | Financial Times

May 21, 2024

Map of Taiwan and China's coast

SSP Director M. Taylor Fravel and Principal Research Scientist Eric Heginbotham were quoted in a Financial Times visual storytelling article identifying five key military contests that would help define the outcome of a war.

At the heart of this modernisation has been the country’s investment in missiles in a bid to close the gap with the US. “It’s all about missiles,” says Eric Heginbotham, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology security expert and co-author of a Taiwan war game.

“What worries me is that the US could consider limited nuclear use because it cannot bring enough bullets to the fight,” says M. Taylor Fravel, an expert on the Chinese military at MIT. “If you cannot match China ship for ship, you can sink 10 ships with one nuclear weapon.”

To view the full article