In a new article in The Washington Quarterly, SSP Director Taylor Fravel reviews China’s current approach to Taiwan and examines lessons China may be learning in three domains: political and diplomatic, military and battlefield, and economic. 

"Taken together, on balance, these lessons suggest that the costs of military action against Taiwan are greater than China may have anticipated before Russia’s invasion. In the short to medium term, these costs will likely induce greater caution in Beijing vis-à-vis the use of force to achieve unification—so long as Beijing does not view the use of force as the only option left."