Fear Factor: How to Know When You’re in a Security Dilemma
Charles L. Glaser
Foreign Affairs, June 18, 2024
Analysis
Estimating China’s Defense Spending: How To Get It Wrong (and Right)
M. Taylor Fravel, George J. Gilboy, and Eric Heginbotham
Texas National Security Review Vol. 7, No. 3 (Summer 2024)
Analysis
China’s Global Security Initiative at Two: A Journey, Not a Destination
M. Taylor Fravel
China Leadership Model No. 80 (Summer 2024)
Analysis
Appendix: China Defense Spending Estimate Method
from
“Estimating China’s Defense Spending: How To Get It Wrong (and Right),”
Texas National Security Review, Summer 2024
M. Taylor Fravel, George J. Gilboy, and Eric Heginbotham
Analysis
When Actions Speak Louder Than Words: Adversary Perceptions of Nuclear No-First-Use Pledges
Caitlin Talmadge and Vipin Narang
International Security Vol. 48, No. 4 (Spring 2024) (With Lisa Michelini)
Analysis
Deterring Chinese Economic Coercion of Taiwan: Lessons from an Economic Statecraft Simulation
Eric Heginbotham and Jung Jae Kwon
SSP Wargaming Lab, 2024
Analysis
The Devastation of Gaza Was Inevitable
Barry R. Posen
Foreign Affairs, February 14, 2024
Commentary
Death, Dominance, and State-Building: The US in Iraq and the Future of American Military Intervention
Roger Petersen
Book
Preparing for the Uncertain Future of U.S.-Russia Arms Control: A Food for Thought Paper
Sarah Bidgood
Perry World, January 19, 2024
Commentary
Death Dust: The Rise, Decline, and Future of Radiological Weapons Programs
Sarah Bidgood
Stanford University Press, 2023 (With William C. Potter, Samuel Meyer, and Hanna Notte)
Book
America Needs a Single Integrated Operational Plan for Economic Conflict With China
Eric Heginbotham
Lawfare, December 17, 2023 (With George J. Gilboy)
Commentary
Why the World Should Still Worry About Dirty Bombs
Sarah Bidgood
Foreign Affairs, December 15, 2023 (With William C. Potter and Hanna Notte)
Commentary
America shouldn’t insist on a strategic defeat of Russia
Caitlin Talmadge
The Hill, December 23, 2023 (With Michael O'Hanlon)
Commentary
Book
China’s Misunderstood Nuclear Expansion
M. Taylor Fravel
Foreign Affairs, November 10, 2023 (With Henrik Stålhane Hiim and Magnus Langset Trøan)
Commentary
China’s Potential Lessons from Ukraine for Conflict over Taiwan
M. Taylor Fravel
The Washington Quarterly Vol. 46, No. 3 (2023)
Analysis
The U.S. Nuclear Arsenal Can Deter Both China and Russia
Charles L. Glaser
Foreign Affairs, October 5, 2023 (With James M. Acton and Steve Fetter)
Commentary
Two Paths: Why States Join or Avoid China's Belt and Road Initiative
M. Taylor Fravel
Global Studies Quarterly Vol. 3, No. 3 (July 2023) (With Eleanor Atkins, Raymond Wang, Nick Ackert, and Sihao Huang)
Analysis
The Myth of Chinese Diversionary War: Domestic Turmoil Won’t Make Beijing Launch an Attack—but Will Make It More Likely to React to External Threats
M. Taylor Fravel
Foreign Affairs, September 15, 2023
Commentary
Ukraine has a breakthrough problem: History suggests Ukraine's current campaign is more daunting than the public understands
Barry Posen
Foreign Policy, August 3, 2023
Commentary
Pushing on an Open Door: Japan’s Evolutionary Security Posture
Eric Heginbotham, Samuel Leiter, and Richard J. Samuels
The Washington Quarterly Vol. 46, No. 2 (Summer 2023)
Analysis
Managing United States–China university relations and risks
M. Taylor Fravel
Science Vol. 380, No. 6642 (April 2023) (With Richard Lester, Lily Tsai, Suzanne Berger, Peter Fisher, David Goldston, Yasheng Huang, and Daniela Rus)
Analysis
Symposium: Lessons from Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine
Contributors: Barry Posen and Stephen Van Evera
Defense Priorities, February 13, 2023 (With Emma Ashford, Gil Barndollar, Jason Castillo, Daniel Davis, Daniel Depetris, Michael Desch, Liana Fix, Benjamin Friedman, Thomas Graham, Anatol Lieven, Justin Logan, Rajan Menon, Steven Pifer, Samir Puri, Jeremy Shapiro, Joshua Shifrinson, Angela Stent, Stephen Walt, Stephen Wertheim, Gavin Wilde, and Robert Wright)
Commentary
How would Trump and Biden handle US nuclear policy upon reelection?
Caitlin Talmadge
Brookings, July 8, 2024
Commentary