Fravel: How Much Risk Should the United States Run in the South China Sea? | 2022 | News

Fravel: How Much Risk Should the United States Run in the South China Sea?
M. Taylor Fravel
Taylor Fravel headshot

M. Taylor Fravel

International Security Vol. 47, No. 2 (Fall 2022) (With Charles L. Glaser)

 

 

 

 

China has been cautious in pursuing its goals, which makes the risks of current policy acceptable. Because U.S. security interests are quite limited, a significantly firmer policy, which would generate an increased risk of a high-intensity war with China, is unwarranted. If future China's actions indicate its determination has significantly increased, the United States should, reluctantly, end its military resistance to Chinese pursuit of peacetime control of the South China Sea and adopt a policy of partial South China Sea retrenchment. 

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